Forty percent of Europeans say the next car they buy is likely to be electric - poll

Are consumers unwilling to buy electric cars or are carmakers reluctant to sell them? In a poll conducted by Ipsos Mori for NGO Transport & Environment (T&E), 40% of citizens surveyed say it is likely the next car they’ll buy or lease will be electric or fuel cell powered. A considerable 5-12% of citizens across the countries surveyed say it is very likely they'll buy an electric next. The survey shows there is an immediate opportunity to grow the 2% of sales that presently can be plugged-in.

A third of those polled (24-48% in different countries) say it is somewhat likely that the next car they buy or lease will be electric or hydrogen-powered. This suggests that a significant proportion of consumers are open to buying an electric car. Most carmakers are forecasting 20-25% sales of electric cars by 2025 and the survey results suggest there is demand if they can bring down prices with increasing production. Italians and Spaniards (both 48%) are most likely to say that they would be somewhat likely to buy or lease an electric or fuel cell car as their next vehicle, while the French and Germans (24 and 25% respectively) are least likely to say the same thing.

Nearly two-thirds (62%) of Europeans think that carmakers are not doing enough to sell electric vehicles by attractive marketing, pricing and offering enough choice. This includes 72% of French people, 68% of Germans and 67% of the British surveyed – the three biggest new car markets in the European Union. Separate analysis by T&E shows just 3% of marketing spend is on plug-in cars and a mystery shopping survey has demonstrated dealers are actively discouraging potential buyers.

Greg Archer, clean vehicles director of T&E, said: “Europeans are open to buying electric cars but carmakers aren’t doing enough to offer attractive, affordable electric models. This is the single biggest obstacle to a faster shift to electric mobility. Citizens want carmakers to do more and governments should set ambitious CO2 standards to ensure they do so.”

For those citizens who said they would not be likely to buy an electric or hydrogen car next, the biggest barrier is their high price, which was identified by two-thirds (65%). Price was the greatest concern among Poles (72%) and Hungarians (75%); and it was of the least concern to Germans (57%), Spaniards (58%) and Swedes (58%). Tumbling battery costs mean electric car prices should come down soon. Volkswagen recently announced that from 2019 it will start selling a Golf-style electric car with a 330km range for the same price as a diesel.

The second biggest barrier is the availability of recharging points, a concern expressed by 38% of those surveyed. The concern is greatest in Italy (49%) and Spain (46%) and least in Sweden (25%). There is a considerable body of evidence that shows that there already is a sufficient number of recharging points in most countries for the number of electric cars on the road. Moreover, just five percent of recharging happens at public chargers. Nonetheless this remains a perceived barrier that needs to be addressed.

The much hyped concern of range anxiety (fear that the car will run out of charge) is only mentioned by 12% of those surveyed.

When it comes to government action, a surprisingly high share of Europeans surveyed (60%) think that the government should require carmakers to sell electric cars in their country. Support for this idea is strongest in Spain (83%), Poland (79%), Italy (69%) and Britain (61%). Germans, French, Hungarians and Belgians are split while a small majority of Swedes oppose the idea.

Over half (55%) of those surveyed want the EU to set ambitious targets that are achievable to reduce CO2 emissions from new cars in 2030. In EU countries and the European Parliament there has been a fierce debate about possible jobs losses by carmakers, but just 11% say that the EU should limit their targets to ensure that there is no more than a minimal impact on jobs in the car and oil industries.

Greg Archer added: “There’s strong public support across nine EU countries for ambitious policies to clean up cars now. A significant majority of Europeans surveyed think that the government should require carmakers to sell electric cars in their country. The clear message from this survey is that citizens expect their government to be far more ambitious about driving the shift to low and zero-emission vehicles than what the European Commission and the German government are proposing.“

Last November, the European Commission proposed a 30% reduction from new cars and vans in emissions from 2020 to 2030. The environment committee of the European Parliament voted for 45% and there are 19 EU countries supporting a 40% reduction target, although Germany supports just a 30% cut. The vote in the European Parliament takes place this Wednesday, 3 October. The EU Member States are expected to agree their position on 9 October. This will trigger negotiations between the three institutions leading to a final decision in early 2019.

Footnotes: 

[1] The survey was conducted in the first two weeks of September in nine EU countries: Belgium, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Poland, Spain and Sweden. In each country a sample of 500 adults were surveyed online meaning there was a total of 4,500 citizen attitudes polled. While the sample in each country was not large it was designed to be representative. A full set of data associated with the survey are provided alongside this briefing. The precision of Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of ±5.0 percentage points for respondents in each country, and ±1.7 percentage points for all respondents surveyed.


Contact the press team

Nico Muzi
Communications Director
+32 (0)484 27 87 91 
nico.muzi@transportenvironment.org

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