46% Share of new EU heavy truck sales where electric beats diesel on total cost
Electric trucks cheaper to operate than diesel for almost half of trucks sold in EU - new analysis
As EU hauliers face another diesel price shock, electrification offers the only realistic option to protect them against future oil crises
Electric trucks deliver a lower total cost of ownership (TCO) in six out of nine major EU markets, which together account for 46% of all new heavy trucks sold in the EU, a new T&E report shows. In the Netherlands and Germany, savings can go up to €100,000 and €85,000 respectively over five years, with electric trucks reaching their payback time after only two years. With current high diesel prices, savings could rise to €123,000 and €106,000 respectively.
European truckmakers have dominated the market to date. But highly competitive Chinese and US e-trucks are now being sold with a considerably lower purchase price. In Germany, this would mean €34,000 more savings over five years. In an industry of small margins focused on profit, this should act as a wake up call for European truckmakers, which must speed- and scale-up the production of e-trucks to remain market leaders, T&E says.
T&E’s modelling shows that by 2030 electric trucks can be cheaper to operate in all nine EU countries analysed. This can be achieved even when phasing out or reducing vehicle purchase subsidies by combining existing policy measures with a limited set of new measures, such as road toll exemption for electric trucks.
Stef Cornelis, director of freight and fleets at T&E said: “Europe’s truckers are on the front line of the diesel crisis. There has never been a better time to switch from diesel to electric, but we need truckmakers and governments to support them in doing so. Rather than asking for further delay the EU’s electrification targets, truckmakers should stick to Europe’s 2030 CO2 goals. Governments can play their part by exempting e-trucks from road tolls while accelerating charging infrastructure and grid connections. Reintroducing fuel rebates is the wrong answer to this crisis and will only prolong the transport sector’s dependency on cripplingly expensive diesel .”
The e-truck market is growing quickly and the EU and its member states must maintain and implement the following EU measures to accelerate the transition using three TCO drivers:
-
No further weakening of the HDV CO2 standards: the -43% 2030 CO2 target is crucial to ensure manufacturers offer more electric trucks and achieve the economies of scale necessary to further bring down prices.
-
Expand CO2-based tolling: Italy, France, Spain and Poland need to implement the Eurovignette Directive and exempt zero-emission trucks from tolling charges by 100% until 2031, and 50–75% afterwards.
-
National governments should continue financial support for both public and private depot charging while accelerating grid upgrades and permitting.
Cornelis continued, “Europe’s truckmakers should be fully focused on increasing the scale of production of e-trucks to lower their up-front prices, rather than continuing their efforts to change the regulations. Every investor in the e-truck's ecosystem needs stable policy, not going back and forth. Maintaining the CO2 standards will be critical for Europe’s truck industry to compete with Chinese e-trucks and the Tesla Semi and avoid a repeat of what we saw in the auto industry.”
T&E’s new analysis is published on the same day of the launch of a new online tool that compares e-truck and diesel costs across the same EU markets and the UK.
Related Articles
View All
Europe paying €200 million a day diesel premium, report shows
Europe is the world’s most exposed region to high diesel prices with drivers paying an additional €30 at the pump
A continent squeezed
Europe’s growing diesel crisis is becoming a major drain on the bloc’s economy
Are new electric entrants serious competition for European truckmakers?
European truckmakers face increasing competition as new players enter the heavy electric truck market offering performant products for cheaper.